Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gao · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jinan • Hard • Oct 15, 2025 • 8:35 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Xinyu Gao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Haruka Kaji
57% · 12–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~661 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~661 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Xinyu Gao
59% · 10–7 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Haruka Kaji and Xinyu Gao are set to meet at the Jinan on October 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Kaji enters with a 25–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gao has posted a 21–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gao, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gao leads 4–0 over Kaji, including a win in their most recent meeting.