BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kessler · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • May 25, 2026 • 5:55 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner McCartney Kessler

Key insights

Player performance profile

Hanyu Guo

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,656 points across 19 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.129% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.471% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.115% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%35% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

McCartney Kessler

HARD

50% · 77 on hard

CLAY

80% · 41 on clay

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,492 points across 61 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.659% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.650% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.259% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%70% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Hanyu Guo and McCartney Kessler are set to meet at the French Open on May 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Guo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kessler has posted a 4–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kessler entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kessler leads 1–0 over Guo, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Guo and Kessler have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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