Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 8:15 AM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hamad Medjedovic
55% · 6–5 on hard
83% · 10–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,941 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,941 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,942 points across 94 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,942 points across 94 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hamad Medjedovic and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Medjedovic enters with a 6–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Minaur has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.