Hailey Baptiste vs L. Samsonova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2025 • 1:45 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Hailey Baptiste
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,935 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,935 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
L. Samsonova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,648 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,648 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hailey Baptiste and L. Samsonova are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Baptiste enters with a 11–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Samsonova has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Baptiste entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Baptiste leads 3–0 over Samsonova, including a win in their most recent meeting.