Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinn · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 1:30 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hubert Hurkacz
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,869 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,869 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.9 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ethan Quinn
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,145 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,145 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.3 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Ethan Quinn are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Hurkacz enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Quinn has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Hurkacz, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Hurkacz and Quinn at the professional level.