Guy Den Ouden vs Max Houkes · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula • Clay • Apr 4, 2025 • 10:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Max Houkes
Key insights
Player performance profile
Guy Den Ouden
33% · 1–2 on hard
75% · 46–15 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~516 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~516 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Max Houkes
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~112 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~112 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Guy Den Ouden and Max Houkes are set to meet at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on April 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Ouden enters with a 46–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Houkes has posted a 44–27 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ouden entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Houkes leads 3–1 over Ouden, including a win in their most recent meeting.