Grigor Dimitrov vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 23, 2025 • 3:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Grigor Dimitrov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Grigor Dimitrov
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,510 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,510 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.3 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 82% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,656 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,656 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Grigor Dimitrov and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Miami on March 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Dimitrov enters with a 10–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 15–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Dimitrov leads 4–1 over Khachanov, including a win in their most recent meeting.