Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon · Match odds & ELO prediction
Campinas • Clay • Apr 11, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Gonzalo Bueno
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gonzalo Bueno
57% · 42–32 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~729 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~729 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lautaro Midon
80% · 4–1 on hard
64% · 49–27 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gonzalo Bueno and Lautaro Midon are set to meet at the Campinas on April 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bueno enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Midon has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bueno leads 2–1 over Midon, including a win in their most recent meeting.