Gonzalo Bueno vs Andrea Collarini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Villa Maria • Clay • Sep 16, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Andrea Collarini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gonzalo Bueno
57% · 42–32 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~612 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~612 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.7 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Collarini
25% · 1–3 on hard
58% · 40–29 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~990 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~990 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gonzalo Bueno and Andrea Collarini are set to meet at the Villa Maria on September 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bueno enters with a 42–32 record on clay courts in 2025, while Collarini has posted a 40–29 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bueno, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bueno leads 3–2 over Collarini, including a win in their most recent meeting.