Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jan Choinski · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 22, 2026 • 7:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Key insights
Player performance profile
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,515 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,515 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.5 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -11.5 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.9 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan Choinski
38% · 6–10 on hard
67% · 31–15 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,628 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,628 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Jan Choinski are set to meet at the Dubai on February 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Perricard enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Choinski has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Perricard, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Perricard leads 3–0 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.