Garrett Johns vs Colton Smith · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 19, 2025 • 7:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Garrett Johns
Key insights
Player performance profile
Garrett Johns
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~254 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~254 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Colton Smith
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,433 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,433 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Garrett Johns and Colton Smith are set to meet at the US Open on August 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Johns enters with a 33–21 record on hard courts in 2025, while Smith has posted a 19–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Smith, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Johns leads 2–0 over Smith, including a win in their most recent meeting.