Gabriela Ruse Elena vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 11:25 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gabriela Ruse Elena
53% · 9–8 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,737 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,737 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gabriela Ruse Elena and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Elena enters with a 5–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Rybakina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–0 over Elena, including a win in their most recent meeting.