Gabriela Knutson vs Eva Guerrero Alvarez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Caldas da Rainha • Hard • Sep 16, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Gabriela Knutson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gabriela Knutson
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~655 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~655 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Eva Guerrero Alvarez
76% · 48–15 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
59%
9 matches tracked
Match Overview
Gabriela Knutson and Eva Guerrero Alvarez are set to meet at the Caldas da Rainha on September 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Knutson enters with a 33–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Alvarez has posted a 48–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alvarez entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Knutson leads 2–0 over Alvarez, including a win in their most recent meeting.