Gabriel Diallo vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Sep 25, 2025 • 4:30 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gabriel Diallo and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the Tokyo on September 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Diallo enters with a 18–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fritz has posted a 36–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 3–0 over Diallo, including a win in their most recent meeting.