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Match analytics

Gabriel Diallo vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction

Australian Open • Hard • Jan 16, 2025 • 1:25 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 3

Winner Karen Khachanov

Key insights

Player performance profile

Gabriel Diallo

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,824 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.689% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.223% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.942% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%65% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Karen Khachanov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,026 points across 61 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.086% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.266% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.521% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%31% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Gabriel Diallo and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Diallo enters with a 18–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 15–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Diallo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 3–1 over Diallo.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Diallo and Khachanov alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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