Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 11:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 68% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gabriel Diallo and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Diallo enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Auger-Aliassime has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Auger-Aliassime entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 1–0 over Diallo, including a win in their most recent meeting.