Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Francisco Cerundolo
Andrey Rublev
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,734 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,734 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cerundolo enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Rublev has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cerundolo entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Cerundolo and Rublev at the professional level.