Francesco Maestrelli vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Porto • Hard • Aug 2, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francesco Maestrelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesco Maestrelli
61% · 11–7 on hard
0% · 0–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
57% · 8–6 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Porto on August 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maestrelli enters with a 18–10 record on hard courts in 2025, while Canas has posted a 22–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maestrelli, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Maestrelli leads 2–1 over Canas, including a win in their most recent meeting.