Frances Tiafoe vs Sebastian Korda · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 30, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Frances Tiafoe
Key insights
Player performance profile
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,074 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,074 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Korda
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda are set to meet at the French Open on May 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Tiafoe enters with a 11–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Korda has posted a 5–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tiafoe, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Korda leads 3–2 over Tiafoe.