Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 11:20 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Andrea Pellegrino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–1 on hard
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,547 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,547 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Frances Tiafoe and Andrea Pellegrino are set to meet at the Rome on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tiafoe enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Pellegrino has posted a 14–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tiafoe, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pellegrino leads 1–0 over Tiafoe, including a win in their most recent meeting.