Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Vukic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 7:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Frances Tiafoe
Key insights
Player performance profile
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 50% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aleksandar Vukic
40% · 6–9 on hard
0% · 0–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,221 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,221 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Frances Tiafoe and Aleksandar Vukic are set to meet at the Toronto on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tiafoe enters with a 14–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vukic has posted a 19–24 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 3–1 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.