Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 29, 2025 • 12:55 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Flavio Cobolli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Arnaldi
25% · 1–3 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,638 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,638 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Arnaldi are set to meet at the French Open on May 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 15–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Arnaldi has posted a 7–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cobolli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Arnaldi leads 3–2 over Cobolli.