Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 6:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,175 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,175 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,041 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,041 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tiafoe has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cobolli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 2–1 over Cobolli.