Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Aug 3, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the Toronto on August 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shelton has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shelton entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 4–2 over Cobolli, including a win in their most recent meeting.