Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 25, 2026 • 3:25 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Flavio Cobolli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–1 on hard
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,812 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Andrea Pellegrino are set to meet at the French Open on May 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cobolli enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Pellegrino has posted a 14–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cobolli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cobolli leads 4–0 over Pellegrino, including a win in their most recent meeting.