Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Basel • Hard • Oct 23, 2025 • 12:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marin Cilic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,807 points across 25 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,807 points across 25 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 50% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marin Cilic are set to meet at the Basel on October 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 43–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cilic has posted a 9–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cilic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 3–1 over Cilic, including a win in their most recent meeting.