Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2026 • 11:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mariano Navone
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,958 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,958 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariano Navone
55% · 6–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Mariano Navone are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Navone has posted a 8–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Auger-Aliassime entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Navone leads 2–0 over Auger-Aliassime, including a win in their most recent meeting.