BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marcos Giron · Match odds & ELO prediction

Adelaide • Hard • Jan 9, 2025 • 3:50 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime

Key insights

Player performance profile

Felix Auger-Aliassime

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.497% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.661% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.963% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
68%90% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Marcos Giron

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.135% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.243% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.545% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
46%35% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marcos Giron are set to meet at the Adelaide on January 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 43–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Giron has posted a 15–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Auger-Aliassime entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 5–1 over Giron, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Auger-Aliassime and Giron alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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