Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 9, 2026 • 10:45 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,958 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,958 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Ruud has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ruud, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 4–2 over Ruud, including a win in their most recent meeting.