Federico Coria vs Gustavo Heide · Match odds & ELO prediction
Punta Del Este • Clay • Jan 20, 2025 • 9:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Federico Coria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Coria
0% · 0–1 on hard
54% · 20–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gustavo Heide
33% · 1–2 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Federico Coria and Gustavo Heide are set to meet at the Punta Del Este on January 20, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Coria enters with a 20–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Heide has posted a 28–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Heide entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Coria leads 3–0 over Heide, including a win in their most recent meeting.