BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Federico Cina vs Manuel Cerundolo Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction

Modena • Clay • Jul 4, 2025 • 2:55 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Federico Cina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Federico Cina

HARD

65% · 2212 on hard

CLAY

53% · 109 on clay

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~919 points across 7 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.747% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.245% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-7.94% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Manuel Cerundolo Juan

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,508 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-0.923% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.790% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.018% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
36%20% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Federico Cina and Manuel Cerundolo Juan are set to meet at the Modena on July 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cina enters with a 10–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Juan has posted a 39–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Juan entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Cina and Juan have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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