Federico Arnaboldi vs Noah Lopez · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4 • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Federico Arnaboldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Arnaboldi
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Noah Lopez
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Federico Arnaboldi and Noah Lopez are set to meet at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4 on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Arnaboldi enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Lopez has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Lopez entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Arnaboldi leads 1–0 over Lopez, including a win in their most recent meeting.