Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska · Match odds & ELO prediction
Parma • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 5:00 PM
Federica Urgesi
Maja Chwalinska
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federica Urgesi
56% · 9–7 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maja Chwalinska
71% · 10–4 on hard
73% · 8–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,738 points across 25 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,738 points across 25 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Federica Urgesi and Maja Chwalinska are set to meet at the Parma on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Urgesi enters with a 2–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Chwalinska has posted a 8–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Chwalinska entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Urgesi and Chwalinska at the professional level.