Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuxi • Hard • May 6, 2026 • 10:15 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Rio Noguchi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Fajing Sun
63% · 19–11 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~582 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~582 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rio Noguchi
70% · 19–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Fajing Sun and Rio Noguchi are set to meet at the Wuxi on May 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sun enters with a 19–11 record on hard courts in 2026, while Noguchi has posted a 19–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Noguchi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Noguchi leads 2–0 over Sun, including a win in their most recent meeting.