Facundo Mena vs Matias Soto · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santiago • Clay • Jan 18, 2026 • 1:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Facundo Mena
Key insights
Player performance profile
Facundo Mena
57% · 4–3 on hard
48% · 21–23 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~330 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~330 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matias Soto
18% · 2–9 on hard
48% · 19–21 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Facundo Mena and Matias Soto are set to meet at the M25 Santiago on January 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Mena enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Soto has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Soto entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.