Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Almaty • Hard • Oct 17, 2025 • 8:00 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Fabian Marozsan
46% · 6–7 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,459 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,459 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,650 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,650 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 75% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Fabian Marozsan and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Almaty on October 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Marozsan enters with a 16–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Medvedev has posted a 30–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Medvedev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 4–0 over Marozsan, including a win in their most recent meeting.