Francesco Maestrelli vs Novak Djokovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 2:30 AM
Francesco Maestrelli
Novak Djokovic
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesco Maestrelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Novak Djokovic are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Maestrelli enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Djokovic has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. This will be the first meeting between Maestrelli and Djokovic at the professional level.