Eva Lys vs McCartney Kessler · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 30, 2025 • 5:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Eva Lys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Eva Lys
25% · 1–3 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,458 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,458 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
McCartney Kessler
50% · 7–7 on hard
80% · 4–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,492 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,492 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Eva Lys and McCartney Kessler are set to meet at the Beijing on September 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Lys enters with a 25–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kessler has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Lys leads 3–0 over Kessler, including a win in their most recent meeting.