Eva Lys vs McCartney Kessler · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 30, 2025 • 5:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Eva Lys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Eva Lys
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,434 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,434 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
McCartney Kessler
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,261 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,261 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Eva Lys and McCartney Kessler are set to meet at the Beijing on September 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Lys enters with a 25–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kessler has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Lys leads 3–0 over Kessler, including a win in their most recent meeting.