Match analytics

Ergi Kirkin vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · Match odds & ELO prediction

Soma Bay 2 • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 9:00 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ergi Kirkin

HARD

67% · 42 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~107 points across 2 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.112% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.928% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.890% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

41%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~982 points across 8 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.814% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.673% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+7.996% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ergi Kirkin and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez are set to meet at the Soma Bay 2 on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kirkin enters with a 4–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Mendez has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. This will be the first meeting between Kirkin and Mendez at the professional level.

Recent singles form slightly favors Kirkin, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Mendez has gone 1–4 over the same span.