Ergi Kirkin vs Arnaud Bailly Gilles · Match odds & ELO prediction
Shymkent • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 9:25 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Arnaud Bailly Gilles
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ergi Kirkin
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~107 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~107 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 90% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arnaud Bailly Gilles
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ergi Kirkin and Arnaud Bailly Gilles are set to meet at the Shymkent on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kirkin enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gilles has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gilles entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gilles leads 1–0 over Kirkin, including a win in their most recent meeting.