BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Emma Raducanu vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction

Montreal • Hard • Jul 30, 2025 • 10:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Emma Raducanu

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emma Raducanu

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,966 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.961% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.773% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.884% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%68% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Peyton Stearns

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,172 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.537% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.631% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.756% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%30% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emma Raducanu and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the Montreal on July 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Raducanu enters with a 17–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Raducanu leads 3–0 over Stearns, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Raducanu and Stearns have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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