BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Emilio Nava vs Tomas Barrios Vera · Match odds & ELO prediction

Asuncion • Clay • Mar 21, 2025 • 11:50 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Emilio Nava

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emilio Nava

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,421 points across 27 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.953% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.616% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.086% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
61%75% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Tomas Barrios Vera

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.013% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.342% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.266% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%27% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emilio Nava and Tomas Barrios Vera are set to meet at the Asuncion on March 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Nava enters with a 45–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Vera has posted a 42–20 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Nava leads 3–1 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Nava and Vera alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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