Match analytics

Emiliana Arango vs Marina Stakusic · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 5, 2025 • 12:00 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Emiliana Arango

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emiliana Arango

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

37%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,649 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.82% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.385% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.011% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
23%10% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Marina Stakusic

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,063 points across 22 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.45% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.283% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+6.287% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
88%96% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emiliana Arango and Marina Stakusic are set to meet at the Rome on May 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Arango enters with a 4–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Stakusic has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Arango, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Arango leads 3–0 over Stakusic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Arango and Stakusic alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.