Emiliana Arango vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Mar 31, 2026 • 7:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Emiliana Arango
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emiliana Arango
11% · 1–8 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,798 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,798 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lourdes Carle Maria
43% · 3–4 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emiliana Arango and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the Bogota on March 31, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Arango enters with a 4–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Maria has posted a 4–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Arango, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Arango leads 3–2 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.