BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Emerson Jones vs Talia Gibson · Match odds & ELO prediction

W75 Playford • Hard • Nov 29, 2025 • 1:00 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Emerson Jones

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emerson Jones

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,297 points across 10 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.324% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.689% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-12.32% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Talia Gibson

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,247 points across 27 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.079% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.110% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.215% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%51% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emerson Jones and Talia Gibson are set to meet at the W75 Playford on November 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jones enters with a 42–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gibson has posted a 37–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gibson, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Jones leads 2–1 over Gibson, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Gibson, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Jones has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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