BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Emerson Jones vs Lilli Tagger · Match odds & ELO prediction

Girls Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2025 • 1:55 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Emerson Jones

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emerson Jones

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,416 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.719% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.285% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-11.62% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lilli Tagger

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,624 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.964% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.267% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+3.475% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emerson Jones and Lilli Tagger are set to meet at the Girls Australian Open on January 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jones enters with a 42–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tagger has posted a 7–4 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Jones and Tagger have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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