Emerson Jones vs Julieta Pareja · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 5, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Emerson Jones
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emerson Jones
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,416 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,416 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.6 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julieta Pareja
45% · 5–6 on hard
73% · 11–4 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,139 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,139 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emerson Jones and Julieta Pareja are set to meet at the French Open on June 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Jones enters with a 4–1 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pareja has posted a 11–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pareja entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jones leads 2–0 over Pareja, including a win in their most recent meeting.