Elvina Kalieva vs Carol Zhao · Match odds & ELO prediction
Newport • Grass • Jul 11, 2025 • 4:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Carol Zhao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elvina Kalieva
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~665 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~665 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Carol Zhao
50% · 11–11 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
67% · 4–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,332 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,332 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elvina Kalieva and Carol Zhao are set to meet at the Newport on July 11, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Kalieva enters with a 1–1 record on grass courts in 2025, while Zhao has posted a 4–2 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kalieva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Zhao leads 2–1 over Kalieva, including a win in their most recent meeting.