BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elmer Moller vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 4, 2026 • 3:25 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Nikoloz Basilashvili

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elmer Moller

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

CLAY

43% · 68 on clay

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,487 points across 22 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.92% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.595% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.713% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

HARD

33% · 510 on hard

CLAY

58% · 75 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
2.171% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.947% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.732% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%54% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elmer Moller and Nikoloz Basilashvili are set to meet at the Rome on May 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Moller enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Basilashvili has posted a 7–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Basilashvili leads 2–0 over Moller, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Moller and Basilashvili have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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