BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elmer Moller vs Gabriel Diallo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 9:00 AM

Clay

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elmer Moller

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,068 points across 19 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.71% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.293% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.96% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Gabriel Diallo

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,824 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.689% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.223% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.942% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%65% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elmer Moller and Gabriel Diallo are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Moller enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Diallo has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Diallo, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Moller and Diallo at the professional level.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Moller and Diallo alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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